Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc208929a5fe64af7dddf1690708b79cb1523c2cfb640d81ab9035191087221c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,374,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,617,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,374,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c7…e71dbacked Yes | 74c | 97,087$72,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,058.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 71c | 77,183$54,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,188.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked No | 16c | 75,218$11,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,992.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 26c | 55,774$14,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,353.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed No | 19c | 52,592$9,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 79c | 51,235$40,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,947.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…aaa2backed Yes | 65c | 45,828$29,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,855.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…60fcbacked Yes | 72c | 41,030$29,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,583.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 80c | 39,977$31,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,186.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed No | 25c | 37,327$9,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,331.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…1588backed No | 28c | 35,000$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 78c | 30,961$24,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.05 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f9…c686backed Yes | 69c | 30,623$20,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,637.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 30c | 29,479$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,851.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…d3ffbacked No | 21c | 28,184$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…f1c9backed Yes | 79c | 26,348$20,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked No | 14c | 24,661$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…e843backed Yes | 70c | 23,425$16,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…f8ddbacked No | 24c | 22,706$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.49 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…c7ccbacked No | 31c | 22,701$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 9c | 20,805$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.95 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…7dcebacked No | 29c | 20,577$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +298.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…efa9backed Yes | 80c | 20,299$16,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…31bdbacked No | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed No | 14c | 19,592$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.68 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 73c | 19,447$14,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 9c | 19,328$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked No | 31c | 18,721$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 22c | 18,282$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked No | 6c | 18,173$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed No | 24c | 18,141$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Yes | 69c | 16,154$11,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked No | 18c | 15,741$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…9a19backed No | 33c | 15,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 14c | 14,680$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 20c | 14,438$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 29c | 14,419$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 6c | 14,069$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.43 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 72c | 13,815$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 73c | 13,705$9,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 71c | 12,701$8,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…9294backed Yes | 78c | 12,347$9,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…6ff2backed No | 12c | 12,242$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed No | 31c | 12,043$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 20c | 11,400$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…66f6backed No | 25c | 11,337$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…19e6backed No | 11c | 11,194$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…1807backed No | 13c | 10,925$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Yes | 67c | 10,885$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed No | 29c | 10,516$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…df4abacked Yes | 73c | 10,173$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 15c | 10,015$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.54 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…9357backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +611.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…5c72backed No | 31c | 9,777$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 71c | 9,372$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.52 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…646abacked No | 12c | 9,352$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed No | 24c | 9,203$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 25c | 9,195$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f33cbacked Yes | 73c | 9,168$6,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed Yes | 76c | 9,038$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 21c | 9,038$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.92 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…0f82backed Yes | 80c | 8,814$7,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 8,793$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 22c | 8,500$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 10c | 8,500$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 8,313$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.65 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 34c | 8,102$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 26c | 8,007$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.53 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed No | 30c | 7,777$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 7,768$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked No | 16c | 7,727$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes | 75c | 7,654$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…9f7dbacked No | 20c | 7,300$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…d671backed No | 27c | 6,981$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 72c | 6,951$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…febcbacked No | 6c | 6,846$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…fc2cbacked No | 18c | 6,834$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked No | 16c | 6,595$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…4fd6backed No | 28c | 6,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed Yes | 71c | 6,352$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…79c9backed No | 27c | 6,236$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…009cbacked No | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked No | 25c | 6,026$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a03…e8cdbacked No | 33c | 5,934$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…ed80backed No | 12c | 5,874$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 8c | 5,846$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.09 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 14c | 5,846$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed No | 2c | 5,838$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 72c | 5,736$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…62e6backed No | 36c | 5,715$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 76c | 5,542$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 74c | 5,495$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.16 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked No | 12c | 5,480$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4203…6ff7backed No | 18c | 5,420$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…0cf8backed No | 38c | 5,246$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 13c | 5,192$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…d235backed No | 36c | 5,154$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…2391backed No | 5c | 5,142$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4269…4616backed Yes | 72c | 5,138$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.