Token Launches · resolved market
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b04e0da4b798d0654606270714411f1d79a762e33830aed2a845e941a13fb92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,026,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 0c | 55,246$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 71c | 35,995$25,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,726.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 1c | 34,732$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,219.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 47c | 28,360$13,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,067.2 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 1c | 26,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 78c | 24,388$18,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.67 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 46c | 24,094$11,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,191.45 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 23,231$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 63c | 13,459$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.3 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.99 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 27c | 9,584$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,948.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 45c | 9,233$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…fb0bbacked Yes | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 8,677$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.51 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed No | 75c | 8,592$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…046bbacked No | 76c | 7,636$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…9068backed No | 71c | 7,612$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…3f99backed No | 0c | 7,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 6c | 6,981$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 26c | 6,857$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 31c | 6,532$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…76eebacked No | 13c | 6,411$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 63c | 6,219$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.24 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 49c | 6,150$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 4c | 4,825$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f3cdbacked No | 70c | 4,600$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ba…0aa6backed Yes | 44c | 4,595$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,385$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.45 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 53c | 4,309$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.09 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…996dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,194$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +707.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,085$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 19c | 4,076$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.29 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 3,988$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.98 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 27c | 3,900$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked Yes | 77c | 3,685$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…0729backed Yes | 4c | 3,487$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.07 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Yes | 77c | 3,378$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…b4a0backed No | 39c | 3,359$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 50c | 3,268$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.53 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 10c | 3,243$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…220cbacked No | 70c | 3,166$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.9 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 41c | 3,032$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…31bdbacked No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…259fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,996$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +399.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed No | 14c | 2,865$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…aa88backed Yes | 22c | 2,695$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…a929backed No | 17c | 2,587$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ff…5007backed No | 8c | 2,499$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…573ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,400$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,394$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 80c | 2,332$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 34c | 2,159$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.08 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…9cc7backed No | 13c | 2,132$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 2,020$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +230.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 58c | 1,969$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.17 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed Yes | 28c | 1,957$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…2903backed No | 71c | 1,929$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…8648backed No | 71c | 1,805$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 13c | 1,589$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,573$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 1,552$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 1,552$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed No | 73c | 1,519$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 3c | 1,472$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.52 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…f9adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,416$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked Yes | 29c | 1,385$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4937…33e5backed Yes | 11c | 1,384$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…73dbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,369$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…1e19backed Yes | 5c | 1,305$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 23c | 1,280$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.69 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 19c | 1,268$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 17c | 1,265$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.77 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…67f9backed No | 73c | 1,235$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked No | 6c | 1,233$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…6f40backed No | 73c | 1,227$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3e…8b58backed No | 11c | 1,211$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 7c | 1,193$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 17c | 1,166$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed Yes | 42c | 1,155$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 4c | 1,111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53d…9bf0backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…1310backed Yes | 11c | 1,076$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…b7cdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,059$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…4b78backed Yes | 5c | 1,050$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…cd37backed Yes | 5c | 1,045$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +311.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,026$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 61c | 1,000$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…daf7backed Yes | 21c | 991.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.27 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…30e6backed Yes | 11c | 965.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 18c | 943.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.66 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed No | 64c | 940.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?this page
- Over $105M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $55M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $65M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $85M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
- Over $95M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.