TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c95…30cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$97.01
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.69
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,522.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,604.51
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.09
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.12
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$747.4
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$3,814.86
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$1,444.18
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+229.5%+$9,273.23
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,367.14
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,281.93
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+181.7%+$806.23
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+62%+$403.03
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+333.4%+$776.48
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.2%+$253.32
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$692.17
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.6%+$167.08
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$115.24
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$185
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$306.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.