Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb71fc840d63e36883af24961c62ab3db63e6b23c857dc286dc7af5445394be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,348,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,417,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,348,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,087 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb623…4203backed Yes | 54c | 34,693$18,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,898.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…7a01backed No | 43c | 33,098$14,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,772.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 48c | 24,788$11,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,835.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 42c | 24,420$10,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,306.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 67c | 22,910$15,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.97 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…eecfbacked No | 71c | 20,657$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 17c | 20,262$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.54 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…0f58backed Yes | 39c | 20,257$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 73c | 16,941$12,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.18 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed Yes | 25c | 15,498$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 39c | 14,523$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.07 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 17c | 14,486$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.57 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…7628backed Yes | 64c | 12,014$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,738.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…9d95backed No | 73c | 11,796$8,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 10,710$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.34 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5df2backed No | 74c | 10,500$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 24c | 10,210$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.29 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…e24bbacked Yes | 12c | 10,018$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 41c | 9,510$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.15 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…006dbacked No | 78c | 9,476$7,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 19c | 9,218$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 19c | 9,082$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…13fdbacked Yes | 43c | 8,950$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 43c | 8,727$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.75 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…97efbacked No | 62c | 8,278$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed No | 66c | 7,167$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 28c | 7,129$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.99 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked No | 78c | 6,786$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8d…e824backed Yes | 30c | 6,668$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…0cf6backed No | 78c | 6,614$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…332ebacked Yes | 30c | 6,563$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…ad08backed Yes | 59c | 6,524$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 50c | 6,497$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.65 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 36c | 6,467$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.79 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…29e0backed No | 75c | 6,381$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes | 50c | 6,371$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 43c | 6,340$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.07 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed No | 74c | 6,291$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 55c | 6,270$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked No | 56c | 5,781$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…7035backed No | 69c | 5,596$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493d…0348backed No | 64c | 5,503$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 34c | 5,498$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 60c | 5,486$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 18c | 5,399$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.54 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…32e3backed Yes | 30c | 5,352$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked Yes | 23c | 5,336$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.77 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 41c | 5,291$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.37 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed Yes | 16c | 5,238$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…5784backed Yes | 33c | 5,229$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 28c | 5,227$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 53c | 5,156$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2be9backed Yes | 33c | 4,987$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 4,940$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.35 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 32c | 4,930$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 75c | 4,779$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 20c | 4,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 11c | 4,539$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,488$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.25 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…0ae5backed Yes | 63c | 4,300$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 10c | 4,121$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.04 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…749bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…3a32backed No | 38c | 3,987$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.02 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…59a4backed Yes | 26c | 3,840$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 28c | 3,758$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…662ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,666$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,591$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 18c | 3,545$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 32c | 3,493$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.78 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,477$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 60c | 3,415$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…2a9bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,400$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…c9d1backed Yes | 30c | 3,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…902dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,225$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…abddbacked Yes | 31c | 3,220$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed Yes | 21c | 3,216$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +978.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…f6f5backed No | 79c | 3,139$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 50c | 3,100$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…eaf8backed Yes | 33c | 3,028$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…bfeabacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.82 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.67 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc22backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 65c | 2,999$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…8a71backed Yes | 14c | 2,981$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…ac10backed No | 59c | 2,948$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…2d3cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,931$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,925$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.58 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 32c | 2,922$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9a84backed Yes | 30c | 2,902$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…7a9abacked Yes | 14c | 2,896$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 29c | 2,868$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.84 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked No | 68c | 2,800$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 67c | 2,790$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.