Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98bd71f9e730990d3737e8bcd6c1b5cad3c4975ae359c031fea49ccff228521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,927,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,496,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,927,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,072 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 34c | 158,425$54,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,125.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…7a01backed No | 58c | 96,863$55,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,082.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…cf10backed No | 43c | 92,600$39,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,782 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 54c | 92,600$50,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,295.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed Yes | 5c | 85,550$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…3a32backed No | 51c | 67,829$34,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,499 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…8a71backed Yes | 5c | 64,167$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 65c | 55,000$35,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 10c | 52,318$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,448.86 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6156…979fbacked Yes | 45c | 45,866$20,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,798.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 11c | 43,124$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7996…b669backed Yes | 32c | 43,015$13,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,897.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 36c | 40,528$14,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,996.63 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…6aecbacked Yes | 13c | 39,430$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…019fbacked Yes | 46c | 35,684$16,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,238.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…1687backed Yes | 8c | 34,215$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes | 28c | 33,331$9,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…fef6backed Yes | 39c | 32,677$12,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,717.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…1674backed No | 74c | 31,986$23,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,447.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…bef3backed Yes | 57c | 31,600$18,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,012 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…920bbacked Yes | 57c | 30,900$17,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,613 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…c917backed Yes | 57c | 30,100$17,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…0f58backed Yes | 32c | 28,620$9,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,078.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 41c | 27,589$11,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,411.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…ec64backed Yes | 45c | 26,814$12,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,119.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 6c | 26,544$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 11c | 25,635$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,901.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…266fbacked Yes | 67c | 25,103$16,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,911.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 35c | 24,569$8,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,523 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 1c | 24,329$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 61c | 24,193$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,493.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…3acebacked Yes | 46c | 23,567$10,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,851.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 65c | 23,509$15,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,219.59 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 69c | 23,336$15,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,345.34 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed No | 45c | 21,683$9,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,023.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 71c | 21,454$15,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 17c | 21,080$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,434.82 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…22ecbacked Yes | 48c | 20,248$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 9c | 20,161$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 19,302$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Yes | 14c | 19,039$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +599.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…deabbacked Yes | 2c | 18,813$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d3d4backed Yes | 1c | 18,697$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 18,370$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 36c | 17,903$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,424.63 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…c647backed Yes | 24c | 17,784$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…ebdebacked Yes | 53c | 17,311$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 79c | 16,007$12,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,611.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9c5bbacked Yes | 48c | 15,989$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 7c | 15,955$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 80c | 15,784$12,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 0c | 15,682$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…5b23backed Yes | 49c | 15,625$7,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,613.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…1777backed Yes | 62c | 15,592$9,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,598.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes | 9c | 15,485$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed No | 18c | 14,902$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked No | 21c | 14,248$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,273.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 64c | 13,929$8,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,974.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dc…ff6cbacked No | 37c | 13,103$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cb…ecb7backed No | 80c | 12,967$10,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc22backed No | 60c | 12,768$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…880fbacked Yes | 54c | 12,548$6,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 55c | 12,307$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.6 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked No | 69c | 12,255$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.86 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 15c | 11,941$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 51c | 11,887$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 66c | 11,711$7,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.05 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 11,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…c4d7backed Yes | 6c | 11,676$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 74c | 11,440$8,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.04 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…91d1backed Yes | 2c | 11,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 7c | 10,972$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.07 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed No | 21c | 10,955$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.96 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…fdf0backed No | 38c | 10,896$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 13c | 10,614$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,238.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Yes | 48c | 10,604$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes | 67c | 10,316$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…5203backed Yes | 22c | 10,150$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 10,034$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.07 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 27c | 9,969$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,268.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 20c | 9,897$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,882.77 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…d70ebacked No | 75c | 9,675$7,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…6986backed No | 47c | 9,647$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…0405backed No | 33c | 9,606$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,471.26 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +7.4wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 76c | 9,276$7,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 77c | 9,272$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…3f84backed Yes | 57c | 9,098$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159c…ad37backed No | 13c | 8,927$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +692.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 32c | 8,910$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.64 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…eb2ebacked Yes | 42c | 8,884$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 75c | 8,853$6,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.5 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 18c | 8,681$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2be9backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.