Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a4f3b45ed3186f0335f18a8b2237f65362948c51518b3ef4bcf00bca8e1e4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $595,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 2c | 27,831$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…3b12backed Yes | 7c | 20,543$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…9c74backed Yes | 0c | 8,581$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 0c | 8,548$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,974$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.79 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b4…fa86backed Yes | 0c | 7,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…b8e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,385$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b0…4650backed Yes | 0c | 7,385$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 7,385$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 6,687$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…765ebacked Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…09adbacked Yes | 18c | 5,963$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…742dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,623$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 11c | 5,329$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…b19fbacked No | 74c | 4,910$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 10c | 4,893$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.58 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…cd8ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,836$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…cb7bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…e36dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,100$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9203…8c7ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,987$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…ab7abacked Yes | 4c | 3,974$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,686$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…9873backed Yes | 0c | 3,479$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 3,450$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 55c | 3,210$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.67 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…0a67backed No | 56c | 3,210$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.56 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +7.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 1c | 2,537$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,489$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,426$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,319$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…fd07backed Yes | 1c | 2,123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…b8acbacked Yes | 12c | 2,018$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…220cbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed Yes | 19c | 1,991$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 4c | 1,972$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…f0b9backed No | 73c | 1,900$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,749$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,521$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes | 14c | 1,506$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…d25bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…b293backed Yes | 4c | 1,484$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,456$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…8dc5backed Yes | 8c | 1,438$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…0b73backed Yes | 20c | 1,412$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…1ab5backed Yes | 11c | 1,409$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 76c | 1,403$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.62 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…ba96backed Yes | 15c | 1,351$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…9088backed Yes | 6c | 1,339$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,335$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…0247backed Yes | 8c | 1,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Yes | 14c | 1,287$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…17b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,258$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…8d7cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,212$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,143$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…662ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,058$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…d759backed Yes | 4c | 1,042$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,024$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,019$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…5dc2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 999.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1f4bbacked Yes | 6c | 971.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…9b98backed Yes | 7c | 970.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 934.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 917$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 914.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 13c | 898.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 885.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…de43backed Yes | 4c | 859.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked Yes | 9c | 831.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 8c | 830.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 22c | 827.15$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 823.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…e1e5backed Yes | 4c | 765.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…7be8backed Yes | 4c | 730$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 72c | 718.86$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…44bfbacked Yes | 22c | 695.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…a606backed Yes | 4c | 672.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 55c | 671.36$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 599.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…c895backed Yes | 26c | 592.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked Yes | 7c | 590$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes | 12c | 580$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 57c | 540$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…0405backed No | 53c | 537.52$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +7.4wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe7af…1e9fbacked Yes | 11c | 509.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 499.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…00cdbacked Yes | 27c | 485.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 484.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 7c | 463.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.