Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb539ff4f83cf45713ac7188ccb85a8ae7b3af2d183ecd25547e2bc75c4b3e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,278,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,445,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,278,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9564…3a32backed No | 17c | 359,864$59,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,922.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 9c | 42,870$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.13 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…6192backed Yes | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…1ae5backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…1c81backed No | 24c | 18,905$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 16c | 14,766$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.49 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 14c | 14,642$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.53 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 13,098$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…4777backed No | 23c | 10,954$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…2fd6backed Yes | 80c | 8,090$6,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 79c | 7,531$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.02 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 7c | 7,157$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.05 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked No | 9c | 6,928$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…c244backed Yes | 79c | 6,350$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed No | 0c | 5,926$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…6336backed No | 15c | 5,901$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374c…9fdcbacked No | 15c | 5,897$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d67fbacked No | 15c | 5,896$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…7b31backed No | 14c | 5,832$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 78c | 5,559$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…efa4backed No | 3c | 5,400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…fbc2backed Yes | 76c | 5,261$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 21c | 5,010$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.12 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 20c | 4,433$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…81debacked No | 5c | 4,337$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked No | 1c | 4,262$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked No | 18c | 4,100$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 1c | 4,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8998backed No | 21c | 4,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 3,749$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…dcf1backed Yes | 79c | 3,600$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…b4f5backed Yes | 79c | 3,561$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 22c | 3,117$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fd…3ecfbacked No | 23c | 3,062$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed No | 16c | 3,028$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.07 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bc…e4eabacked No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 14c | 2,928$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…1cd2backed Yes | 76c | 2,827$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed No | 6c | 2,769$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…ebd6backed No | 10c | 2,762$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 15c | 2,674$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…b21dbacked No | 15c | 2,658$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 20c | 2,640$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed No | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 80c | 2,364$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked No | 23c | 2,170$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 24c | 2,091$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.55 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 2,088$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…c9a9backed No | 16c | 2,042$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.09 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…7601backed No | 9c | 2,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed No | 15c | 1,972$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 16c | 1,944$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 7c | 1,853$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 13c | 1,849$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…cd05backed No | 13c | 1,829$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 5c | 1,805$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 15c | 1,800$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…5facbacked No | 8c | 1,689$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 1,658$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 21c | 1,633$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 22c | 1,620$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.16 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Yes | 79c | 1,604$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…e20ebacked No | 1c | 1,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 1,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 23c | 1,556$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5db1backed No | 9c | 1,550$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,546$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…1dbabacked Yes | 79c | 1,531$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…3e5dbacked No | 17c | 1,524$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…7035backed No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 7c | 1,491$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 12c | 1,484$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 6c | 1,442$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…37d7backed No | 15c | 1,400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…47edbacked No | 12c | 1,363$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 1,306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 77c | 1,304$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 11c | 1,267$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…5f14backed No | 22c | 1,261$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,207$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 10c | 1,200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 21c | 1,163$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked No | 17c | 1,159$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…03fdbacked No | 9c | 1,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…197bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,100$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed No | 9c | 1,090$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 12c | 1,087$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed No | 24c | 1,087$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73f…6523backed No | 23c | 1,055$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 25c | 1,033$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…7e8ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,031$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…fb76backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.