TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9359…6aac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
474
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT15751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauffbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.99
Wimbledon WTA: Lois Boisson vs Elena Rybakinabacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.5
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$111.8
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.25
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$166.4
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.99
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$133
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.25
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$138.11
Set Handicap: Starodubtseva (-1.5) vs Blinkova (+1.5)backed Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinkobacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.49
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$8,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,686.84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+523.2%+$54,329.78
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+312.1%+$1,514.67
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$571
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.95
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$395
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$6,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,794.4
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.48
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.85
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,295.05
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.25
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$751
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.5
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$292.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,154.5%+$900.33
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,125
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,750
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$255
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$125.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$125.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$132
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.2
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$86.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$296
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$126.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$166
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$344.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42%+$18.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.2
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.88
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.02
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.6%+$857.1
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+145.7%+$2,260.01
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225.74
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,673.18
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.7%+$441.86
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+70.9%+$415
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$244.94
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,578.94
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$35.03
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$160
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$166
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.9%+$255.84
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$143.49
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$468
Will AZ win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$135.17
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$180
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$105
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$247.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.