TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes47c17,000$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,009.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+157.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c16,465$8,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,785.913,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c11,142$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.7584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No57c8,050$4,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.283455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yes43c7,999$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No57c7,000$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.9910960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c5,300$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.4552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0be…6b79backed No33c4,563$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c3,639$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.8633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c3,437$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.3176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c3,198$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.8544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c2,726$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.162,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No56c2,715$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes59c2,494$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.9710061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c2,412$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.4591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.732839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No55c2,220$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2211668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No57c1,770$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No60c1,400$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8364634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c1,313$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.3119934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c1,144$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.0813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes44c1,116$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.8813327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No55c1,000$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.551050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No54c999.98$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes40c999$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.43259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes49c950$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.54537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.095100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+115.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes44c902.3$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.892030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed No56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Yes43c885.89$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Yes44c735.06$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…45c0backed Yes41c720$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No31c710.21$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.953828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes46c704.15$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes43c688.16$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes40c681.91$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.911040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No57c645.9$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.35048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked Yes65c599$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes48c573$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.121250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.186637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes44c543.2$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes46c523.34$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.67040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed No55c499.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.981520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No52c499.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.974151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c487.96$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.768240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…126bbacked No12c458$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes39c450$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.510757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…0493backed Yes44c449.32$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.62560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+73.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No46c445.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7311643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes48c420.83$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.835154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes47c399.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.697435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes66c393.94$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes43c392.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.295242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes40c380$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a43…d565backed No54c372.74$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d9…6c46backed No54c371.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9489…6aecbacked No54c366.14$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c4…03e7backed Yes47c360.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc734…dbcbbacked Yes47c360.09$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes43c357.3$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c357.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb949…9be4backed Yes47c355.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes46c352.07$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes43c351$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes80c333.89$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c305$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes46c299.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1636046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes45c256.88$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1410055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed No33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No53c233$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No51c227.48$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0133847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262850%14 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes45c223$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.655856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes46c222$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes45c215.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.318949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes44c215.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes42c189.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.772157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.