TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c6,649$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.9491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes11c4,662$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c4,662$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.0543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes16c4,488$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.6184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes13c3,369$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.657435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c3,050$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.526022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9920050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes31c1,625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c1,588$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4064330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed No72c1,296$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No80c1,231$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2110061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c79…1593backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+60.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes30c781.63$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes29c677.35$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.421315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes28c601$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4313920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No71c600$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes20c600$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11780%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes34c594.12$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e8…c296backed Yes27c567$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes23c556.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.17528%21 W · 54 L-9.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked No72c553$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes27c518.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes10c505.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…4f6ebacked Yes28c483$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes22c346.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.12615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c345.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2119736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes29c327.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…3cc4backed Yes29c276.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No72c273.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes12c208.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c194.83$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5511843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes29c190.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa7…d27abacked Yes11c187.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes16c184$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f8…3ec6backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+105.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No70c131.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.255242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes30c130.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf7…96a8backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed No72c97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes29c93.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2114733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c68.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1810035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.499257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x183d…5814backed Yes28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed No73c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.772250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c50.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8312849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b67…4ac4backed Yes28c45.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.052030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Yes27c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabc…06f8backed Yes29c39.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes32c36.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…29d6backed Yes31c36.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed No75c31.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782878.6%22 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No73c26.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacfc…debcbacked No74c20.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f8…f83fbacked No73c19.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked No73c18.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e4…4386backed No74c17.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f9…e5f0backed No73c16.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba88…fdeabacked No74c16.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1f…64d4backed No72c15.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4089…67f9backed No74c13.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.