TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c79…1593

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+529.5%+$612.1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$124.5
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$87.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$406.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$147.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$115.75
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.72
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$206.15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74.2%+$148.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+60.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+290.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$73.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+304.3%+$304.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$36.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$51.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.