Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e643a93888373f93e64dfc22038fa38e9f0eef2d5a739e76fc8ab0881dc1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 34,964$11,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,658.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 42c | 33,335$13,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,967.05 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 78c | 19,231$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.8 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 75c | 18,127$13,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,594.99 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 78c | 14,500$11,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,310 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 59c | 12,130$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.4 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 23c | 11,755$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,092.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 22c | 11,683$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.23 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 78c | 10,897$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.03 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 29c | 8,000$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.71 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 6,643$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,010$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 77c | 5,931$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 76c | 5,303$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,100$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.96 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 25c | 4,400$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…3545backed No | 77c | 4,286$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 77c | 4,085$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.07 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Yes | 59c | 3,732$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,415$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.19 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 78c | 3,401$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.13 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 75c | 3,168$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.85 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,050$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.91 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked No | 77c | 2,745$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 2,744$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,736$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.61 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 2,712$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 30c | 2,605$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.6 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 77c | 2,579$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Yes | 24c | 2,542$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 75c | 2,250$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.5 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 59c | 1,972$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.43 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 26c | 1,892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,836$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.02 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 25c | 1,829$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.67 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked No | 76c | 1,652$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 72cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 1,532$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,468$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.29 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 1,417$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 27c | 1,397$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.67 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 1,316$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.74 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,315$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.76 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.52 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,251$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,114$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.77 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,008$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.13 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +130%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 996.09$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 26c | 872.96$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed No | 78c | 844.4$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.63 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 827.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.87 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Yes | 73c | 798.3$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 76c | 792.26$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 38c | 717.62$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…cb8abacked No | 75c | 650$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 19c | 642.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 80c | 625.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 75c | 598.67$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…5f42backed Yes | 18c | 552.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 78c | 512$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 25c | 509.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.03 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 506.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 75c | 505.35$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 25c | 495.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 57c | 473.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 34c | 460$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 69c | 458.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 443.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes | 24c | 408.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…16f8backed Yes | 79c | 401.94$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed No | 77c | 370.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed No | 77c | 370.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed No | 77c | 370.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed No | 77c | 370.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 27c | 369.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed No | 78c | 365.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 70c | 357.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 28c | 356.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 46c | 347$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…397ebacked Yes | 70c | 340.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed No | 36c | 325.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 27c | 319.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.