Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c075490e264701cb3dc33293b63557cc40d0e835ae6c1c125b8b9f9cd9d7d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,591,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,580,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,591,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 978 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 50c | 500,385$249,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,188.57 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 148,601$74,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,412.25 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 115,428$58,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,597.37 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 50c | 107,615$53,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,807.73 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 77,357$40,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,667.15 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 49c | 53,800$26,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,437.96 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 44,240$21,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,585.67 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 40,648$20,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,204.47 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 51c | 34,339$17,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,828.58 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 32,391$16,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,423.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Yes | 50c | 25,806$12,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,930.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 56c | 21,536$12,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,422.95 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 46c | 20,769$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.51 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 48c | 20,617$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,895.99 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 50c | 20,416$10,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,138.16 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 52c | 17,719$9,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,214 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 49c | 16,206$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.96 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 50c | 15,614$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.08 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…29bdbacked No | 54c | 15,498$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 52c | 14,798$7,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.16 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 52c | 14,682$7,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 50c | 14,300$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 50c | 12,500$6,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.96 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…7468backed Yes | 47c | 11,120$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.95 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 51c | 9,130$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 39c | 9,070$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.11 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 8,133$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.4 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Yes | 51c | 7,579$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 49c | 6,764$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.78 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Yes | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 50c | 6,050$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 50c | 5,995$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 49c | 5,878$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.55 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 5,800$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 52c | 5,783$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 35c | 5,726$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.62 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 49c | 5,542$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,654$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 50c | 4,453$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 48c | 4,157$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.66 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.99 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 3,938$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 51c | 3,869$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 3,790$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 48c | 3,493$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,457$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 50c | 3,418$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 48c | 3,329$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.37 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 13c | 3,215$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.1 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 54c | 3,181$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.49 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 51c | 3,053$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.25 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 3,033$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.26 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 50c | 2,932$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.76 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 49c | 2,878$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.61 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 8c | 2,830$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 50c | 2,824$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.13 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 2,676$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 50c | 2,571$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 48c | 2,475$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.78 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…ebacbacked Yes | 50c | 2,395$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…6235backed Yes | 50c | 2,286$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 2,285$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.75 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 14c | 2,279$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.52 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 49c | 2,254$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.17 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 50c | 2,251$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 51c | 2,200$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 51c | 2,096$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.04 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a9…9ebfbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,049$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.09 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,006$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 19c | 1,989$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.