Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2446f5f502f7a1592f3c1cfbeb0ce277ba8b446c5e38186e6593923cb025db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 26c | 11,475$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.84 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,010$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.01 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 5,973$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.25 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 5,594$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.28 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 5,031$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 4,404$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.04 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 3,742$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.1 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,418$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…4300backed Yes | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,520$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 74c | 1,504$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…1786backed Yes | 27c | 1,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 26c | 1,385$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 1,350$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 1,300$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 29c | 1,046$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 862.98$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 855.97$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 71c | 845.09$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 28c | 800$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 726$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 593.57$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 554.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 26c | 519$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 40c | 513$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 33c | 469.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 71c | 460.73$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 75c | 450$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 23c | 438.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 31c | 377.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 26c | 349.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 37c | 310.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 18c | 305.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…911dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Yes | 25c | 291.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…fa57backed Yes | 24c | 290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 44c | 276.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 31c | 267.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 30c | 256.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 23c | 246.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…f492backed No | 76c | 212$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 25c | 211.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 22c | 177.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 55c | 162$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…5f42backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 149.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…8a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 69c | 141.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked Yes | 23c | 134.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed No | 77c | 129.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 67c | 112.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 109.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 14c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0820backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 36c | 80.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424b…9fc8backed No | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…407abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…5e02backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Yes | 26c | 72.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…a1abbacked Yes | 28c | 72.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Yes | 26c | 69.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 73c | 63.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 74c | 60.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Yes | 26c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.