TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc36b…3ecf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+74%+$14.33
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+67.2%+$13.06
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$4.19
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+62.3%+$7.47
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.67
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.1%+$4.89
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+67.8%+$32.94
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+73.2%+$7.63
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.55
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$123.57
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$36.77
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+36.1%+$90.15
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+198.4%+$124.57
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+61.5%+$109.82
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+90.6%+$12.69
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+59.6%+$20.87
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+39.4%+$5.12
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$58.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+211.4%+$57.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+101.3%+$14.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50%+$8.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.71
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+59.6%+$38.17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+27.1%+$6.23
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$11.82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+95.1%+$150.3
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.67
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.3%+$9.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+48.8%+$5.37
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+70.9%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+123.7%+$14.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+73.3%+$22.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$117.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+98.7%+$177.69
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$61.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+93.4%+$54.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+87.5%+$17.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$33.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+70.4%+$19.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.6%+$14.27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25%+$3.24
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$61.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+32.9%+$16.45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.8
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+45.4%+$8.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.8%+$7.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+53.1%+$20.16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$33.1
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+32%+$3.82
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+60.2%+$6.62
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$14.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.62
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.7%+$63.7
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$235.46
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$31.4
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65.28
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$213.85
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.68
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+159.5%+$110.71
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.1%+$256.57
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+119.8%+$54.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$55.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.3%+$31.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.