Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b968f3c0b757e6e9f9fda0ec187b248634545a69602f297b10dd3afcc85f1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,866,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,076,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,866,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 165,011$29,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,702.07 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Auger-Aliassime | 9c | 161,755$14,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,819.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 85,875$15,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,766.2 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 76,206$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…d725backed Auger-Aliassime | 16c | 70,477$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 61,817$11,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,495.32 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 45,000$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 43,351$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.29 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 37,895$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.92 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 9c | 31,900$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Auger-Aliassime | 5c | 29,663$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.03 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Auger-Aliassime | 14c | 27,642$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.14 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 21,131$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.18 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 20,388$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 18,592$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.49 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auger-Aliassime | 12c | 17,737$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 17,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 16,701$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Alcaraz | 80c | 15,673$12,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 14,375$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.2 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 14,110$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 9,148$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 9,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 6c | 8,801$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Auger-Aliassime | 10c | 8,561$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 8,200$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.99 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Alcaraz | 80c | 7,837$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.35 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 7,837$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 7,490$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Auger-Aliassime | 13c | 7,305$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 7,281$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 6,944$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.92 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 6,870$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.37 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 3c | 6,686$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Alcaraz | 80c | 6,300$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 5,757$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.51 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Auger-Aliassime | 21c | 5,583$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.78 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Alcaraz | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Alcaraz | 80c | 4,908$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Auger-Aliassime | 13c | 4,100$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.19 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 3,931$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 3,600$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 3,387$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 10c | 3,302$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Auger-Aliassime | 6c | 3,283$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 3,015$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 2,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,578$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.53 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,378$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Auger-Aliassime | 13c | 2,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 2,250$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,227$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Auger-Aliassime | 4c | 2,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed Auger-Aliassime | 15c | 2,100$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 1,984$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Alcaraz | 80c | 1,900$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 1,884$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 1,812$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 12c | 1,715$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Alcaraz | 80c | 1,700$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 1,625$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 1,500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 1,435$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Auger-Aliassime | 5c | 1,306$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…2395backed Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 1,260$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Alcaraz | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 1,200$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Auger-Aliassime | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Auger-Aliassime | 21c | 1,057$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Auger-Aliassime | 16c | 1,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Auger-Aliassime | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Auger-Aliassime | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Auger-Aliassime | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Auger-Aliassime | 15c | 783.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Auger-Aliassime | 11c | 735.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Auger-Aliassime | 15c | 680$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 634.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 633.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Auger-Aliassime | 7c | 623.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Auger-Aliassime | 19c | 614.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Auger-Aliassime | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Auger-Aliassime | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Alcaraz | 80c | 474.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimethis page
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Auger-AliassimeAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.