TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b32…3f5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST3710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$237.25
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$171.59
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$221.1
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$206.7
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+974.7%+$394.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.93
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$103.97
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.8
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$58.9
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$224.21
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.17
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$88.08
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150.05
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.17
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.33
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.01
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.78
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.27
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Victoria Mbokobacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.49
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.36
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$11.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+159.6%+$137.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+141.5%+$31.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$22.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$319.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.