Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d3df091728a8f14c2b69723144e4dc8353614b9c269d2acf578f42e21acd72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fernandezof Cirstea, Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Cirstea | 34c | 99,134$33,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,714.71 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Fernandez | 66c | 81,693$54,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,520 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cirstea | 31c | 34,362$10,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,665.55 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Fernandez | 63c | 20,000$12,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,450 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fernandez | 66c | 14,501$9,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.65 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cirstea | 29c | 7,466$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Fernandez | 71c | 6,466$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.97 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cirstea | 31c | 5,669$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.18 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fernandez | 78c | 5,641$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cirstea | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Fernandez | 71c | 4,133$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Fernandez | 70c | 2,905$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cirstea | 0c | 2,666$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fernandez | 68c | 2,531$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fernandez | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.92 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Cirstea | 4c | 1,914$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Cirstea | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Cirstea | 34c | 1,477$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Cirstea | 34c | 1,351$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.26 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fernandez | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Cirstea | 9c | 1,109$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…6114backed Cirstea | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Cirstea | 33c | 999.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Cirstea | 6c | 941.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Fernandez | 70c | 858.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cirstea | 35c | 838.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Cirstea | 13c | 820$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cirstea | 34c | 642$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Cirstea | 46c | 550$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Cirstea | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked Fernandez | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Cirstea | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Fernandez | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Cirstea | 32c | 499.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Fernandez | 65c | 461.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cirstea | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fernandez | 73c | 415$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Fernandez | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Fernandez | 66c | 333$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Cirstea | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Cirstea | 22c | 319.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Fernandez | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Cirstea | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…2379backed Cirstea | 37c | 302.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Fernandez | 66c | 288$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Fernandez | 69c | 287.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Cirstea | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Cirstea | 21c | 241.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…b5a9backed Cirstea | 4c | 230.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Fernandez | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea | 34c | 229.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…e365backed Fernandez | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Fernandez | 66c | 197.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…b905backed Fernandez | 64c | 196.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Cirstea | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Fernandez | 55c | 189.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fernandez | 79c | 183.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…a069backed Fernandez | 68c | 181.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fernandez | 68c | 161.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cirstea | 35c | 159.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe526…3809backed Cirstea | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Fernandez | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fernandez | 65c | 152.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Fernandez | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fernandez | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Fernandez | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Cirstea | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…fbb3backed Fernandez | 67c | 120.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7fa9backed Cirstea | 21c | 112.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Cirstea | 35c | 110.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cirstea | 34c | 103.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Cirstea | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Fernandez | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Fernandez | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Cirstea | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Cirstea | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d00ebacked Fernandez | 62c | 99.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Cirstea | 24c | 97.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Fernandez | 68c | 92.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…2a64backed Fernandez | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…3118backed Cirstea | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fernandez | 78c | 84.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Fernandez | 67c | 81.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fernandez | 61c | 81.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Fernandez | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked Fernandez | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…d6cabacked Fernandez | 66c | 67.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Cirstea | 25c | 67.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Fernandez | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Fernandez | 64c | 62.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Fernandez | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cirstea | 34c | 58.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Cirstea | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Cirstea | 39c | 57.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Fernandez | 68c | 56.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…8756backed Fernandez | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked Fernandez | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Cirstea | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cirstea | 35c | 53.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…7deabacked Cirstea | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.