TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6103…3b6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT4060%24 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arthur Gea vs. Vilius Gaubas: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Auger-Aliassime vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+141%+$47.78
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Mensik vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Mensik vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Rublev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.94
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Moez Echarguibacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Clement Taburbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.91
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$29.5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Victoria Mbokobacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.56
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$29.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+99.5%+$13.97
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$30.63
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$61.67
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$27.2
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+614.3%+$326.78
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$236.07
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$224.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+359.5%+$886.79
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$195
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+185.7%+$325
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+194.1%+$263.9
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+185.7%+$150.53
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$234
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$69.09
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 5backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$232.3
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+300%+$120
Will the Netherlands win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$106.12
Will Portugal win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Germany win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$85
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.88
Spread: Inter (-1.5)backed Verona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.03
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.7
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.75
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+547.4%+$77.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.