Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0b4f99baa37a6426e295dd7a9a995f842cc61fbb3d11259ea423f986872c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of AS Monaco FC, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Brestois 29 | 79c | 7,009$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 5,984$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked AS Monaco FC | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 1,139$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Stade Brestois 29 | 80c | 347.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AS Monaco FC | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed AS Monaco FC | 6c | 155.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed AS Monaco FC | 24c | 122.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed Stade Brestois 29 | 74c | 56.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked AS Monaco FC | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd587…baaebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Stade Brestois 29 | 79c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stade Brestois 29 | 76c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Stade Brestois 29 | 77c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.