Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0579321c8716ee738f26c28d7d16a59b929ac1c4bfe517a780b626a9fa95a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 16,045$12,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 22c | 7,483$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.24 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…1654backed Over | 42c | 6,688$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 58c | 6,588$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 15c | 4,999$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 40c | 2,717$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…514cbacked Over | 42c | 2,298$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 1,922$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.77 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 78c | 767.7$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 439.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 68c | 380.38$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 314.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 38c | 148.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Under | 62c | 132.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 41c | 116.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Under | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 64c | 69.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 63c | 58.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…baefbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 75c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 40c | 25.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 63c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.