Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a7465a937de0eafedccf2e09ade27c27b446883d4a9cc3b3432e7ac8a9a0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 40c | 19,700$7,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,877 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 15,445$9,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 33c | 7,578$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.99 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,007$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.39 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 64c | 948$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 63c | 808$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 63c | 752.3$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.63 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 55c | 364.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 7c | 358$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 36c | 353.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 283.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…45cabacked Under | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 250.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 63c | 242.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Over | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Over | 64c | 161.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 39c | 147.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…8507backed Under | 79c | 142.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 63c | 79.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 27c | 72.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Over | 54c | 51.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Over | 54c | 38.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 62c | 34.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 43c | 29.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 61c | 26.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 62c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…014ebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.