TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25c2…e0cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$136.09
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$72.17
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$39.16
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$187.22
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.89
Bournemouth vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+125%+$62.48
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$50.74
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$93.33
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+80.9%+$72.77
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CF Monterrey vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
CF Monterrey vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
CA Lanús vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will CA Unión vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$53.08
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$129.4
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
US Lecce vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$120.89
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$202.7
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.88
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$65.57
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Getafe vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)backed Espanyol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+104.8%+$83.88
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$56.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+86.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$31.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$101.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.