Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7cf084a87f26f48b80301d14c8a5f447c89af983898879c17659b0f449404d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 7,662$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 6,966$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.21 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 55c | 4,700$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.99 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 3,683$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 3,640$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.54 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 40c | 2,099$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 47c | 1,909$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.56 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Under | 13c | 558.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 73c | 535.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 39c | 399.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 59c | 388.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 352$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under | 42c | 324.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 293.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 39c | 166.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 159.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 62c | 90.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 30c | 73.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 39c | 62.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 52.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.