TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8f8…09f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST3938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$323.6
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400.73
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+103.1%+$309.18
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+132.6%+$359.05
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$82.19
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$850.38
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$1,500
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$706
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$568.23
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$865.57
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$744.58
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$720.59
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$373.96
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$589.65
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$299.76
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+270.4%+$337.96
Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+300%+$375
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.3%+$663.31
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.6%+$495.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,231.34
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$478
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,080.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+128.4%+$1,284.04
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$365.35
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$599.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$666.67
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$515.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+144.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$524.86
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+170.7%+$1,194.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$507.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+150%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$283.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$184
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.