Champions League · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f13027f4962cf70697090169801888a83945a6b88d9951d065a68722711bf17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,722$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.6 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 12c | 1,721$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed No | 43c | 1,124$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 43c | 948.28$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.57 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 757.29$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 46c | 619.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 574.38$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 40c | 358.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 42c | 356.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 277.55$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed No | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 34c | 152.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 136$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…7634backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 54c | 97.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 94.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 57c | 47.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 60c | 30.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 80c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Yes | 57c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 73c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)FC København won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.