TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked Over47c51,221$24,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,146.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c18,018$9,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,720.872,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c7,700$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcd…0c9fbacked Under53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under51c6,468$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.7458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c5,195$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.339348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Over45c3,358$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.96955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Under50c2,544$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.665944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under57c1,986$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c1,863$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.7734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under54c1,519$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9210744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under59c1,364$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under57c1,250$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.54860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Under35c1,243$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.642339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over46c1,209$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.971513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,072$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5651421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under56c956.33$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Under67c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c853$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over45c781.45$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.83844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under58c668.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Under45c663.64$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.15356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Under54c650$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over41c615.06$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.894355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under53c527.72$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.884744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c463.46$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under55c444$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.219150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c433.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3514447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over61c409.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7837544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over45c404.24$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.332254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c356.77$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.161,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under55c353.36$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.352536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Under12c306.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.782035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15919344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Under56c299.73$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over65c266$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.121354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Under60c248.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Under57c246.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.994568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over43c186$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under56c182$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7543427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under53c173.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over43c139$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2338356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Under39c125.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.410647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed Under54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c107.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Under45c100.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569843.9%43 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c66…35dcbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.148053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under56c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over44c93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c86.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4412748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4418754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4446956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Under61c81.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.074746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under37c75.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Under56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over43c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3316753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over43c66.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1317855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under55c62.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9112751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c61.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7438953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79dd…9889backed Under34c61.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Under40c57.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.683250%16 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over42c54.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6330657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2214247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.223857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2211548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2213248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2211652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2211952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.