Champions League · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735fc36a1c1d27b9c19bb3be2ca41ee9378b652ad541ec60a7eeb6d669890d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 3,421$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.06 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 2,438$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 65c | 1,586$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.16 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 67c | 757.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 68c | 730.21$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 65c | 615$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 565.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 68c | 527$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 448.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Over | 70c | 303$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 66c | 302.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 74c | 203.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 63c | 184.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…eadbbacked Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 34c | 164$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Under | 19c | 161$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Under | 33c | 143.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 75c | 108.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 63c | 96.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 69c | 90.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 26c | 54.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 67c | 51.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Under | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 69c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 65c | 41.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 40c | 24.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…0956backed Over | 63c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 80c | 22.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…02cfbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)FC København won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.