TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee9d…63e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
415
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST16345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$73.74
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$148.27
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.64
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$10.94
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$16.12
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.18
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.64
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$27.55
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.48
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$140.56
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.41
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$137.81
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$336.06
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+122.7%+$245.32
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.82
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+262.5%+$405.81
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+69.6%+$87.82
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+177.8%+$142.08
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST9554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120.97
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+46%+$41.74
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+80.4%+$60.89
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$51
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.58
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.73
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$24.67
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.77
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$16.59
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.92
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$141.61
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.04
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.52
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+45%+$287.15
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$258.4
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+151%+$281.42
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$288.58
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$76.35
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.96
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.32
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$170.94
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$167.54
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$77.72
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.66
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+100%+$14.18
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+150.9%+$105.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$68.52
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$162.02
Will Leicester vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30.58
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.37
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$67.02
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.6
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$111.14
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$50.06
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+31.6%+$48.3
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+132.6%+$70.98
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$77.76
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$236.83
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST3557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Portnoy Parlay - Super Bowl LIXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.39
Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.37
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60.94
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+31.6%+$33.72
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$43.83
Will the Packers and Saints combine for 43 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$236.59
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$344.78
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+27.4%+$182.77
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+61.3%+$291.12
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+35.1%+$188.44
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$79.81
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+75%+$150
Will the Bills beat the Rams by 4 or more points?backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+64.4%+$222.48
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+58.7%+$146.83
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$90
Will the Lions and Packers combine for 52 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$127.93
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$22.95
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+150%+$45
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will the Chiefs and Raiders combine for 43 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$50.46
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$126.85
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150.24
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$46.98
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49
PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.97
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$110
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.15
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Inter Milan beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Barcelona beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.31
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Will RB Leipzig beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$154.61
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+163.2%+$180.19
Will Bayern Munich beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will the match between Aston Villa and Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+36.1%+$23.13
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+42.9%+$19.79
Will Sturm Graz beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+44.9%+$14.33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+203%+$66.61
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$74.79
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+35.1%+$52.88
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+43.9%+$282.09
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+33.3%+$108.49
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+118.2%+$145.85
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+38.5%+$97.36
Air Force vs. San Diego Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.9%+$14
Kansas State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+37%+$20.79
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$80.17
Nebraska vs. Iowabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Navy vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$38.93
Toledo vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+100%+$25
Will BYU beat Kansas?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$178.99
Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$194.01
Will LSU beat Florida?backed Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+33.3%+$14.07
Will Colorado and Utah combine for 45 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+108.3%+$258.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+66.7%+$150.39
ATP Finals: Zverev vs. Alcarazbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+100%+$159.42
ATP Finals: Alcaraz vs. Rublevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+53.8%+$236.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
FISSURE Playground 1: Astralis vs. BetBoombacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal beat Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$317.9
Will Switzerland beat Serbia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$318.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+37.8%+$51.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32.4%+$31.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.