TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Bulls, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls24c29,343$7,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,078.447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Pistons68c22,753$15,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,183.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Pistons79c18,876$14,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.1911164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons71c18,547$13,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.1912663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Bulls32c16,597$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.4947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Bulls36c13,589$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9563444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls15c13,574$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.283,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bulls15c10,333$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.7934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd246…1c41backed Bulls34c10,023$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f36…6c86backed Pistons66c10,008$6,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Pistons80c9,750$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9504575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls23c9,094$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.5965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Bulls33c7,414$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.314443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Bulls14c5,733$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.026943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons76c5,625$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.19572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls25c5,159$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.221,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls34c5,150$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.431,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons66c4,479$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.9649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Pistons66c4,446$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.337450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.7715763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons67c3,862$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Bulls4c3,436$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3610925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pistons69c3,131$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.3236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls31c3,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Pistons74c2,979$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.245366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons66c2,878$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.4296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Bulls29c2,543$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.452832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls1c2,220$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Bulls35c2,143$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Pistons66c2,111$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa55f…f4f4backed Bulls34c2,100$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls31c2,087$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Pistons67c1,941$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Bulls33c1,900$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6279952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Pistons65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Bulls35c1,800$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bb…8852backed Bulls34c1,721$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Bulls34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.999250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Pistons65c1,478$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4843653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…5bfdbacked Pistons65c1,459$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.482650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls32c1,448$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.431,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Pistons75c1,360$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.686552.3%34 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls31c1,243$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons65c1,214$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.0188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pistons64c1,175$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.6917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls33c1,024$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…869abacked Bulls33c1,001$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls2c998.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.487502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Bulls17c941.7$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls1c890.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.535502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c7…995dbacked Bulls35c857.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cd…c78fbacked Bulls33c844.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.43825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Pistons60c827.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4421455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons65c768$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c2…c6efbacked Bulls19c736.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Pistons69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bulls2c719.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1392…ab2abacked Bulls31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f2…a388backed Bulls34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…019abacked Pistons66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…ac84backed Bulls31c653.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bulls33c643.84$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.478521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Bulls36c628.18$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9419033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Bulls29c613.61$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3633258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Bulls33c610.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls30c609.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls19c599.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.237831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pistons78c585.02$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9412657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373c…2456backed Pistons67c573.87$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons64c550.23$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Pistons68c525.13$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.042152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls14c508.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls33c504.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Pistons68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls35c496$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons63c492.77$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.861,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Pistons66c471.71$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.899638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Bulls7c471.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0619231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…06b9backed Bulls22c469.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.14337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Pistons70c467.06$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons66c457$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bulls16c442.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Pistons65c436.57$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.79849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons65c400.44$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Pistons69c399.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.59735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bulls32c362$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa316…af09backed Bulls32c361.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Pistons73c361.37$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5722950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Bulls30c357.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1114034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pistons66c344$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls32c342.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…cf18backed Pistons65c332.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…b55ebacked Pistons68c324.71$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Bulls25c322.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7711939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3291…2ff8backed Bulls34c318.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.