MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238ab48ed103309450672c6fe963fb05f44b5bd6ae70de07e45fd0782248ac37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed New York Yankees | 62c | 32,942$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 25,822$9,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,939.99 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked New York Yankees | 6c | 11,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed New York Yankees | 60c | 4,928$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 4,687$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.96 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,027$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 5c | 1,660$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Yankees | 16c | 1,085$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked New York Yankees | 14c | 1,050$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,005$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.33 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.61 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 771.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 579$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 537.1$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees | 58c | 531.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 516.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed New York Yankees | 61c | 477$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New York Yankees | 21c | 474.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 262.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed New York Yankees | 35c | 260.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 197$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 197$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed New York Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 142.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 135.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 98.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 78.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed New York Yankees | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 31.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed New York Yankees | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.