TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2528…6b40backed Blue Jackets44c27,975$12,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,30910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257f…b3b4backed Avalanche56c27,960$15,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,302.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Blue Jackets46c6,311$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.874151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Avalanche54c6,066$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.1313845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blue Jackets44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9624546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets41c2,378$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blue Jackets43c2,189$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.2749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche57c1,911$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche55c1,839$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Avalanche56c1,505$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Blue Jackets44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche57c1,496$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.191,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Avalanche56c1,462$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.398749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets31c1,431$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.473,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Blue Jackets11c1,213$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Avalanche66c1,169$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.244163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets43c1,125$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c43…1f64backed Avalanche60c1,106$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.41353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Blue Jackets40c1,106$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Blue Jackets43c1,100$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.052326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Blue Jackets42c1,001$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jackets44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Avalanche59c983.55$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Avalanche69c925.44$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.159554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Blue Jackets37c822.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.984725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche61c813.21$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche63c768.66$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.941,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43da…cb1abacked Avalanche62c590$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche57c564.63$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4b…aaa6backed Blue Jackets39c529$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jackets48c412.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8841340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe12…33d2backed Blue Jackets45c367.86$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2d…56f6backed Avalanche60c365$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8055…5538backed Blue Jackets40c365$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf011…994fbacked Avalanche57c351.69$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets43c345.8$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Avalanche58c343.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1916554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets48c332.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.051,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a4…2eb4backed Blue Jackets37c313$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e00…dd24backed Blue Jackets40c309$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc80…6e40backed Avalanche60c309$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4e…5767backed Blue Jackets40c308$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08eb…50d6backed Avalanche60c308$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4585…8a64backed Blue Jackets40c304$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ae…d072backed Avalanche60c304$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Avalanche56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13220649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f59…de15backed Avalanche60c292$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc31…b1ecbacked Blue Jackets40c292$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x262c…9439backed Avalanche60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a68…df2fbacked Blue Jackets40c290$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb210…92b5backed Avalanche60c285$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13e…b804backed Avalanche60c285$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e9…2f23backed Blue Jackets40c285$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be6…7d11backed Blue Jackets40c285$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Avalanche58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Avalanche56c255.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.476850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Avalanche59c254.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6610147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…c08fbacked Avalanche63c252$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche72c249.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…daabbacked Avalanche60c247$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…5b69backed Blue Jackets40c247$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Blue Jackets43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd043…ee49backed Avalanche58c224.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e9…b2b3backed Blue Jackets40c222$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe933…8bc0backed Avalanche60c222$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b3…ce24backed Avalanche63c216$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…2ae1backed Blue Jackets37c216$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jackets42c196.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Avalanche36c175$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche58c172.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69c…5a8dbacked Avalanche58c172.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Avalanche58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee7…c797backed Blue Jackets43c165.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…5dd7backed Avalanche60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…93fdbacked Blue Jackets40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…de55backed Avalanche60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Blue Jackets40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x213e…4728backed Blue Jackets40c158$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Avalanche60c158$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe102…8235backed Blue Jackets40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Avalanche60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6a…8dc5backed Avalanche59c149.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6218…676bbacked Avalanche58c132.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Blue Jackets19c130.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…c723backed Blue Jackets45c124.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.052450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Avalanche68c118.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2115470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cd…1b3ebacked Blue Jackets44c117.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4d…04cdbacked Blue Jackets43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Avalanche56c105.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50a…3018backed Blue Jackets44c104.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Avalanche74c100.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.244259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche59c99.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…3655backed Avalanche60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf8…45bdbacked Blue Jackets40c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a7…f359backed Avalanche57c92.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.865100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebba…4de7backed Avalanche58c92.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfa…f9b2backed Avalanche57c91.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef6…646bbacked Avalanche57c91.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.