TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0532…0b95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.49
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$199.01
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$9.56
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.05
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.87
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$136.08
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.63
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.83
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$84
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.34
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.92
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.37
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+108.3%+$22.68
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.31
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80.68
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.7%+$93.79
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.56
Will Donald Trump say Climate during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Will Donald Trump say Pond during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Donald Trump say Gold during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.25
Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$162.11
Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.01
Will Donald Trump say Zelensky 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$121.6
Will Donald Trump say NATO 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$91.54
Will Donald Trump say Gaza during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Donald Trump say Ukraine 10+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$77.67
Will Donald Trump say Tariff 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Donald Trump say Mineral during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Trump say "France" 15+ times during Macron presser today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+65.9%+$248.3
Will Trump say "US" or "United States" 7+ times during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+42.5%+$61.1
Will Trump say "Gaza" during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$63.2
Will Trump say "Apple" during Macron presser today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+26.7%+$34.35
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macron presser today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.62
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.21
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.4
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$144.58
Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+37.1%+$5.03
Will Donald Trump say "Can you imagine" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Donald Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+262.5%+$97.89
Will Donald Trump say "Crimea" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+38.3%+$17.49
Will Donald Trump say "Dictator" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+45.8%+$7.12
Will Donald Trump say "US" or "United States" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.73
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid+34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.6
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$286.91
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$458.17
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.5
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$42.8
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$8.03
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+614.3%+$120.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.56
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$612.77
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$29.48
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.63
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$41.36
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.22
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42.31
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$41.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-84.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.15
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$92
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$286
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$448
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles beat the Giants by 3 or more points?backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$141.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.