TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Blues, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf42a…8470backed Blues14c2,302$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aed…a933backed Blues30c1,646$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccec…130dbacked Stars70c1,646$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Stars67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Blues33c1,497$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.012360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…6fd0backed Blues33c1,329$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.32619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars67c826.32$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues30c722.01$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Stars76c662.3$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Blues33c655.86$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.439459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues13c610.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.291,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues31c567.81$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.721,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues25c536.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blues32c536.85$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Blues12c523.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa18…5422backed Stars67c414.76$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars68c320$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blues33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Blues5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Stars68c290$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars67c284.29$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Stars70c283.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.915957.6%34 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Blues4c253.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars76c225$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues36c219.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Blues24c205.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Stars66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6816554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Stars69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Blues31c189.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.248440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Blues35c157.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b97…899bbacked Stars67c155$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues34c154.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Stars67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2533145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Stars68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37fc…a9e8backed Blues33c129$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues32c118.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac63…b27bbacked Stars71c105.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Stars67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Blues33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6d7…3f31backed Blues34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d4…7140backed Stars67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Stars65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Blues33c99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2216437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Stars65c98.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.656465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d7…feefbacked Stars67c88.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Blues31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a34…6bccbacked Blues33c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a4…93fcbacked Stars67c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe209…e60dbacked Blues31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cc…b929backed Stars68c77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Stars79c75.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6915470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3849…d51ebacked Stars67c74.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8923…4b8ebacked Blues33c74.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Blues33c73.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Blues30c73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.657238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Stars68c72.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0625358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6d…3e7cbacked Blues33c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ac…6072backed Stars67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb303…205bbacked Stars70c70.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…5370backed Blues33c69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…74cfbacked Blues33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e96…c1bbbacked Stars67c63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x090d…9345backed Stars67c61.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0765…b732backed Blues33c61.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Blues33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…09cabacked Blues34c58.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5763…36cebacked Blues33c57.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf396…f850backed Stars67c57.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Blues33c54.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x728c…4e58backed Stars68c54.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc261…a986backed Blues33c53.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…97e5backed Stars67c53.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43f1…8df9backed Stars67c52.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd372…0765backed Blues33c52.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f7…a134backed Stars68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Blues31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…afbfbacked Blues34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee0…f4adbacked Blues33c46.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Stars68c45.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af2…adffbacked Blues33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7326…b488backed Blues33c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…30aebacked Stars67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues31c41.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Stars69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.715440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7061…82a1backed Blues33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b2…5e14backed Blues33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af4…dc6abacked Blues35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb3…afafbacked Blues33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05d…2776backed Blues31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7141954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e6…cbb5backed Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…5675backed Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abc…42bcbacked Stars71c33.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759e…40f8backed Blues33c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.