TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc288…3480

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+5.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$36.2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192.23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$541.23
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.76
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$361.76
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.4%+$108.17
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+656.4%+$1,878.63
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$239.28
Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.65
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$265.2
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Will Trump say "Egg" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+370.1%+$58.26
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$22.44
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$33.8
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$20.61
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.83
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$26.85
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.96
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+275%+$118.8
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.53
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.25
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.34
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.64
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$20.16
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+33.4%+$15.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.71
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.27
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.37
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.07
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.73
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.75
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.14
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+40.9%+$6.59
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.61
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.16
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.66
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+244.8%+$32.84
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.27
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+74.1%+$37.44
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.5%+$268.85
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$74.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.24
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.54
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.29
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$432.79
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$53.88
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.66
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$96.36
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$56.7
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.99
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$13.8
Will Grok still be #1 Free app next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+25%+$6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.01
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.47
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.04
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$207.72
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$102.44
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$168.98
Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35.86
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$162.23
Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$45.9
Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$81
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.81
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.85
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.76
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100.9
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$734.8
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$413
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,115.2%+$1,844.6
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58.99
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.78
Mitch vs. Rektober: September PnLbacked Rektober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$103.13
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$41.25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.9
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+126%+$251.98
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$116.21
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.53
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.31
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.46
Brentford wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$113.04
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32.71
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.15
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$181.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$181.75
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$216.65
Leicester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$128.2
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$134.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.29
Will Kanye tweet less than 40 times on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Elon tweet 125-149 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Elon tweet 250-274 October 11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Elon tweet 275-299 October 11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$41.99
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.04
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.67
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.57
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$22.05
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$6.41
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$6.42
Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20.62
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$88.37
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.24
Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+79.8%+$278.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+53.5%+$38.83
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$42.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+404.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+908.8%+$3,744.19
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+25%+$50.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.