NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3689ccb1df3fb02c364fda1d7d96be3d29c75bc317a6c6d691cc1bf3acc4228d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 9c | 58,609$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.41 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Clippers | 62c | 53,000$32,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,829.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Nuggets | 35c | 23,956$8,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,530.65 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 15,568$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.79 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 46c | 14,400$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,747.47 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 47c | 12,898$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,783.47 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers | 55c | 12,883$7,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.34 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 56c | 9,272$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers | 2c | 8,279$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 19c | 7,202$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nuggets | 38c | 6,895$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.74 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Nuggets | 73c | 5,959$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.29 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers | 14c | 5,878$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.87 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 2c | 5,511$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Clippers | 28c | 5,034$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.74 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Clippers | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Clippers | 31c | 4,858$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.33 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Clippers | 15c | 4,685$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 38c | 4,570$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.42 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,544$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.21 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,355$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Clippers | 1c | 3,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers | 53c | 3,584$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Clippers | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 28c | 3,112$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,067$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.88 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers | 1c | 3,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Clippers | 62c | 2,950$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Clippers | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Clippers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Clippers | 55c | 2,172$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.52 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Clippers | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Clippers | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers | 53c | 1,901$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,876$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.19 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,776$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.81 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…1873backed Clippers | 17c | 1,761$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 15c | 1,759$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,705$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Clippers | 54c | 1,612$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.47 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Clippers | 35c | 1,603$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.78 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,530$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.64 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Clippers | 53c | 1,515$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.86 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 30c | 1,500$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Clippers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 45c | 1,364$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Clippers | 64c | 1,325$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.79 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,300$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Clippers | 32c | 1,278$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.75 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,221$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.82 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Clippers | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Clippers | 63c | 1,142$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Clippers | 54c | 1,110$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.7 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,047$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Clippers | 17c | 1,030$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Clippers | 40c | 1,011$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,005$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Nuggets | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Clippers | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Clippers | 18c | 977.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Clippers | 29c | 939.76$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…91a5backed Nuggets | 47c | 868.79$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Clippers | 33c | 825.71$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Nuggets | 38c | 780.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 45c | 752.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.35 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Clippers | 2c | 751.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…818bbacked Clippers | 60c | 724.08$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 35c | 703.87$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 41c | 700$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 43c | 681.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Clippers | 54c | 679.94$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.17 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 45c | 625$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Nuggets | 72c | 600$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Clippers | 56c | 596.66$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…15bcbacked Clippers | 55c | 558.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Clippers | 25c | 552.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nuggets | 74c | 539.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets | 67c | 524.36$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Nuggets | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…78e9backed Clippers | 58c | 514.27$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…f16dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 514.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…b710backed Nuggets | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…cc97backed Nuggets | 77c | 501.89$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Clippers | 56c | 500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Nuggets | 40c | 499.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.31 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers | 56c | 496.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Nuggets | 44c | 488.86$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Clippers | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Nuggets | 39c | 474.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.36 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Nuggets | 73c | 467.03$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 284 | 54.6%155 W · 129 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Clippers | 23c | 450$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 449$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.