TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0c5…e717

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.58
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+355%+$163.42
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$136.11
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.11
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.9
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.85
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$134.3
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.88
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$334.81
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$433.13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.56
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.27
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79.84
Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$214.27
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$94.16
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$53.43
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210.83
1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$101.82
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+236.2%+$165.33
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$75.09
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.49
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$59.2
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.42
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.09
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$554.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$138.97
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$107.77
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$97.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.52
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.73
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$160.9
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$173.75
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$47.77
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.63
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.81
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+214%+$167.13
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.36
Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibsonbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.82
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$167.23
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.88
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.16
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.64
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.22
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.9
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.19
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Sinner vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.21
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+138.1%+$98.48
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$149.69
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$79.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+907.9%+$1,918.66
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.97
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.22
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$123.64
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.41
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$281.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$76.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$43.76
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.42
Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.11
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.95
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$89.69
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$259.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$183.54
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$146.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$215.93
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$137.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jarod Minghini win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,268.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.