NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad7bfefa1318072a7718199b97c81e3815c013987400910ec4f341eab657163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,497,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,262,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,497,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Timberwolves | 14c | 303,623$42,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,953.65 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 121,860$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.04 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 36c | 119,274$42,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,335.65 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Timberwolves | 2c | 112,384$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.15 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 2c | 110,876$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Warriors | 34c | 104,507$35,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,413.92 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 59,314$33,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,018.72 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Timberwolves | 57c | 53,520$30,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,488.38 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 42,979$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 42,339$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 37c | 32,574$12,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,417.31 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 58c | 30,750$17,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,914.96 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 34c | 28,599$9,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,821.89 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 27,764$18,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,046.47 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 27,637$17,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,964.05 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 35c | 25,398$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,597.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 44c | 24,843$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,928.32 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 66c | 24,549$16,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,202.32 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 33c | 22,069$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,786.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Timberwolves | 48c | 19,716$9,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,524.1 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Timberwolves | 0c | 19,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 65c | 16,681$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.5 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 9c | 16,285$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.04 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves | 65c | 14,478$9,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,410.7 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 34c | 14,303$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.22 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 60c | 12,533$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578.98 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 12,217$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 66c | 11,221$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.77 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 47c | 11,055$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.12 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 10,675$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.5 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Warriors | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Warriors | 35c | 9,683$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Warriors | 43c | 9,054$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.42 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Timberwolves | 66c | 8,800$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 66c | 8,690$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.29 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Timberwolves | 0c | 8,174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 32c | 8,062$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.13 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 8,010$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.72 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 35c | 7,976$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 6,950$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.91 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Warriors | 41c | 6,767$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.53 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Timberwolves | 15c | 6,565$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 2c | 6,525$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Warriors | 51c | 5,936$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 43c | 5,779$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.75 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…5591backed Warriors | 52c | 5,438$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 5,413$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.33 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Timberwolves | 10c | 5,262$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Timberwolves | 33c | 5,211$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Warriors | 60c | 4,802$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.88 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ff26backed Warriors | 56c | 4,590$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,573$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 4,354$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.03 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,092$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.78 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…d274backed Timberwolves | 69c | 4,079$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 2c | 4,009$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Timberwolves | 60c | 4,001$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.67 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…44eebacked Warriors | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 34c | 3,654$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.51 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 3,604$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.68 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 3,514$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.98 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,513$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,512$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Warriors | 57c | 3,504$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.72 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,471$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.51 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Warriors | 58c | 3,324$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.93 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Warriors | 35c | 3,320$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,250$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.27 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…86f0backed Timberwolves | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Warriors | 53c | 2,973$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.25 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 2,960$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.68 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Warriors | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,798$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.79 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Timberwolves | 16c | 2,522$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Warriors | 34c | 2,190$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 2,128$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,100$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Timberwolves | 27c | 2,046$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.72 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…9f2fbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Warriors | 65c | 1,866$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.63 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,821$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,756$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,750$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,700$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Timberwolves | 17c | 1,680$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Warriors | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,576$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,564$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.05 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Warriors | 46c | 1,550$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,503$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.73 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,402$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 1,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.