Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23fde75349cd2ef1d57de351466c3fd15fd197b440c3461963cb9d44f8fde01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 13c | 39,214$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.6 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 56c | 24,787$13,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,923.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 44c | 14,150$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed No | 38c | 12,005$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 55c | 11,962$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.15 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 55c | 7,249$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.73 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 46c | 6,996$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 26c | 6,065$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.44 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 62c | 5,125$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.64 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 45c | 4,822$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.27 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 39c | 4,675$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.87 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 10c | 4,608$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.77 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 13c | 3,370$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked No | 58c | 3,237$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Yes | 42c | 3,232$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 1c | 2,924$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 62c | 2,715$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.57 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 56c | 2,547$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.52 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 49c | 2,470$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 45c | 2,410$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 55c | 2,200$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 56c | 2,076$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.82 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed No | 58c | 1,539$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,516$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.79 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 68c | 1,463$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 57c | 1,421$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 44c | 1,301$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.27 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 51c | 1,296$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.89 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 1,239$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.82 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 48c | 1,216$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.29 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 44c | 1,144$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,100$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 69c | 1,086$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,065$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.48 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 41c | 1,058$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.18 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 43c | 1,037$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.11 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.93 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked No | 52c | 962.73$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 43c | 906.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 58c | 905.17$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 44c | 864.08$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 45c | 856.58$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…866dbacked Yes | 43c | 818.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…8802backed No | 58c | 818.6$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Yes | 43c | 800$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Yes | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 66c | 772.51$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 57c | 757.07$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 44c | 649.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed Yes | 44c | 645.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 44c | 595.73$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 56c | 594.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.17 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…ad64backed Yes | 44c | 474.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 70c | 471.07$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…aa8abacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Yes | 43c | 455.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…9a4bbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes | 42c | 446.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 434.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 57c | 432.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 50c | 431.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 52c | 425.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Yes | 55c | 420.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 43c | 390.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 45c | 375.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 49c | 366.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 362.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 358.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked No | 58c | 343.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 58c | 337.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 44c | 330$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 47c | 321.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Yes | 70c | 306.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 49c | 306.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f82backed Yes | 45c | 295.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 43c | 250$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…0c12backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 45c | 241.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 43c | 241.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.