TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c19,996$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784.9117234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No73c12,433$9,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.066253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes0c11,681$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.643333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes27c10,090$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e76…c646backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ef…1b6ebacked Yes28c7,803$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked No72c7,777$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed No72c6,776$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e49…4e74backed Yes28c6,767$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes29c5,835$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.095641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No70c4,732$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.6140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1608750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No71c3,812$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.388145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No72c3,329$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.085635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No71c3,186$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes19c2,933$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.1579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No71c2,767$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3840046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed No73c2,641$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.162560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No73c2,431$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked No72c1,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63cc…6e44backed No73c1,656$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74e…f366backed Yes30c1,646$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73f…8b54backed No71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No72c1,364$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.874252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes29c1,200$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.832050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe4…1996backed No74c1,147$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed No72c1,139$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.891741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes29c1,110$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed No73c1,094$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.261968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1233…9adabacked No76c1,045$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes27c1,029$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No71c1,010$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.796854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Yes29c1,000$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa08f…87f3backed Yes29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3011…43d9backed Yes1c791.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…6cd3backed No73c753.42$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked No76c599.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…4d87backed Yes28c575$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No76c520.23$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes8c474.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260f…a7c3backed Yes24c433.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc835…9525backed No75c359.38$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.163762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked No75c297.33$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.331560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c294.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked No74c281.2$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.929150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91b…65c6backed No75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6502…b479backed No77c255.65$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed No72c243.06$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.063754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No73c239.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.733557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6116…6465backed No71c233.8$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed No74c229.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x558e…9d39backed No74c228.29$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c6c…5c09backed No73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.181258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb765…e17fbacked No72c212.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ff6…0dcbbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f7…bbd8backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca01…8008backed No72c204.17$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Yes12c200.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.692416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc622…61a6backed No71c197.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.18850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No74c182.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.436167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes29c170.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8dd…afcabacked No72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+102.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ca…ad64backed Yes29c153.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7e…a1fdbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8711855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c30…6860backed Yes29c127.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…a82cbacked No72c126.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc697…04e3backed No72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No72c121.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.967256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37a…c252backed No72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c107.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x509b…eb8cbacked No71c105.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7f…3480backed No72c101.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked No73c90.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.315633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c84.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No72c83.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.345550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed No72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.