TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc372…00aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$27.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.84
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$48.71
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$51.87
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$71.82
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+39.3%+$13.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.