TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ae5…8342backed No38c27,365$10,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,398.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes62c25,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,50021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes62c25,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-77%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6003951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes62c18,307$11,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.845846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c12,681$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.8852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No32c8,275$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.6184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c6,222$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.988545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Yes66c4,555$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No37c4,326$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.631931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No38c4,228$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ded…3423backed No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes62c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…59cbbacked Yes61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c3,061$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.3333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1702425%6 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac0c…3d88backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes64c2,345$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No37c1,927$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.0415947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c1,908$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6919934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes64c1,833$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No31c1,612$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.728245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5553748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes69c1,466$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c1,230$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.612,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No8c1,194$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.525527.3%15 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+224.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No26c1,145$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No37c1,123$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.584843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No38c1,116$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4246753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c1,016$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.378420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c1,008$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7114352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3688…7567backed Yes80c999$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes62c987$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes63c978.1$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No38c965$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No37c961.8$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2710360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No20c920.23$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.097417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed Yes80c901.41$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…85a0backed Yes63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x621c…ae1bbacked No37c799.97$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02d…2935backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes67c747.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.842737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No5c667$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.118027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed No31c610.58$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2228742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c592$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes63c590.29$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.414450%22 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101050%5 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed No37c545.4$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No27c539.9$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0331849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c07…34a4backed Yes79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443f…87ffbacked No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No33c499.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.968124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No31c459.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.189852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes62c406.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes64c406.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.255154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No18c355$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.95538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes63c334.92$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes62c320.55$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1148456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed No36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-76.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes69c290.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.942040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No33c289$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3712545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8887…4bdebacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d4…ee79backed Yes72c247.51$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe19…3c19backed Yes64c237.34$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No34c227.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes78c224$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No20c204.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8311644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed No37c202.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.794052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc40d…22e6backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5158…4eb4backed No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No38c199.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes62c161.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3d…bd14backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2527437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a4…5232backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.