Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eda98bbfafae29edbad0a6a1465a0abd63624e6e371a185cf1218862c988abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 78c | 1,999$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.87 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 1,279$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 22c | 1,210$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,023$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8f…1d91backed Yes | 15c | 972.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 676.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 79c | 631.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 464.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 78c | 251.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 78c | 191.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 77c | 181.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 89.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 78c | 55.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 47.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.