TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59f1…6710

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.84
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.48
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.58
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+33.8%+$6.76
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.18
Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.98
Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Bologna vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Como win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Bologna vs. Torino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.34
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick77cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$674.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.