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Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes28c20,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,499.9311838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No72c19,043$13,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,709.3821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c18,769$13,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,944.761,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c15,770$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,121.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No72c9,758$7,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,025.7110849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c7,023$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,056.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes28c6,488$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.144829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c6,471$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.9729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c6,444$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.162,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c6,332$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.751,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes28c5,714$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.299111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes28c4,698$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.8311945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes15c4,015$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.085653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c3,865$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No73c3,657$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.868940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c3,500$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5551,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes27c3,398$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.5153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes26c3,200$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.998343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.34134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked No72c2,415$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,050$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c2,018$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.822,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No75c1,867$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No74c1,859$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.867147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b0…f9f4backed Yes31c1,833$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.28757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c1,701$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.941,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes13c1,698$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0805034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes23c1,494$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.3812345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c1,425$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.2968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes23c1,344$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.9836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c1,296$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.318123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No72c1,153$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes67c1,017$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.581,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.992343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes26c855.77$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.272850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No72c813.79$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.935431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes26c779$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.0613132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0496…a7cfbacked Yes26c716$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2917635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes76c643.67$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.244975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Yes30c630$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…4035backed No73c630$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No74c606$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a7…e277backed Yes26c596$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes29c538.91$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No75c520.07$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…6ed5backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes32c509.38$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.389537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes28c492.86$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb016…982dbacked Yes26c467$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes24c464.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.182326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c62…70bbbacked No74c454$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2021…900cbacked No74c452$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes28c392.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8649544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Yes25c368.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.415959.3%35 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No47c344.61$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5915238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8911…d388backed Yes28c340.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes28c339.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.294022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes28c290$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ef…bdfebacked Yes26c288$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+198.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes31c280.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.654639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes27c277.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.787635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No79c277.73$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.418662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad01…5d1fbacked No74c271$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374f…5087backed No74c262$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No72c220$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.429259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.393046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No74c210$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.436563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5427…2935backed No74c196$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No72c194.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a9…4763backed No74c178$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes27c155.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes27c151.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3740953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1511143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc321…a074backed No74c144$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c142.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4228531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c142.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8526229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes26c135$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.945751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0f…5fadbacked No75c133.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes28c128.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde29…99c8backed Yes25c128$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes38c115.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9612646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1112848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Yes27c110.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.644847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bad…ae5ebacked No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes28c108.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2637036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.149828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.149262%57 W · 35 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Yes28c105.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.363740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked Yes27c104$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.