TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$437,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed No54c98,555$53,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,335.248940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c57,220$26,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,170.861,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c55,366$24,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,829.591,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No56c51,151$28,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,469.1318950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c40,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,40031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c36,760$22,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,810.826,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes44c26,378$11,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,527.4221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No45c20,552$9,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,359.116650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes46c17,000$7,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.82250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c16,261$8,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,551.624,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No56c13,675$7,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,01710849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No57c9,519$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.085651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No66c8,829$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.7429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No56c7,828$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.3835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes29c7,694$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.581,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c7,149$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c6,581$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2003060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c4,907$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.671,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No55c4,630$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.510962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes44c4,543$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Yes44c4,300$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-70.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No55c3,047$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.0621965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes41c3,000$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No64c2,684$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.1640150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No79c2,564$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes44c2,255$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes45c2,173$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No56c1,806$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No37c1,784$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.913727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c1,619$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.281,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c1,566$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.7868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes11c1,472$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3615238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes44c1,280$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,278$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No57c1,215$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.565034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes5c1,140$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes43c1,120$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.613054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5638…0f02backed Yes43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Yes33c1,061$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.64250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c1,053$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.371,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No56c999.96$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No55c995$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…a7e0backed No55c967$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3c…7892backed Yes45c960$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No55c940$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4233348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e78…a38cbacked Yes45c940$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed No55c933$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1911346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No55c828.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.047147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No46c814.9$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No56c808.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6712646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No55c747.87$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2910768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31516453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No54c682.09$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.363871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked Yes43c618.85$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2484…d405backed No57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26416737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No56c555.52$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.435431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes45c518.36$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23423741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23031053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…7bfbbacked No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No55c473.85$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.234955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes45c471.72$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes44c469.77$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.74548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x241e…2de2backed Yes45c462.56$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…5839backed No55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c357$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes41c350$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c346.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.891,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b1…faebbacked Yes32c319.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0970%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes10c316.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes45c311$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No64c289.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes44c288.64$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes44c272.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8910533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes41c261$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No56c255.51$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Yes8c255$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.