TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x241e…2de2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$167.08
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$16.46
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.76
Utah vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$107.96
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Barys Astanabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$145.25
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. ERC Ingolstadtbacked ERC Ingolstadt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+51.5%+$83.45
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$159.79
Sharks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$420.75
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$632.69
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$64.62
Capitals vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$128.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.87
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102.34
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$47.23
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+72.8%+$94.01
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$710.64
Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$370.44
Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$136.38
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+36.9%+$249.47
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.2%+$126.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$326.68
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$53.8
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$985.15
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$71.78
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,588.51
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$304.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$256.69
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$506.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$190.08
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$246.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.29
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$382.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163.27
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$208.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$175.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$48.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$96.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25.3%+$118.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.