South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec11ead6a1ab04d2bf323c116691d8d25f0d954cfd73f3aa8916286ae03f5af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 3,551$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 80c | 2,546$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 47c | 1,512$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Over | 54c | 1,500$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 888.34$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.17 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 844.93$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 707$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 657$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 5c | 525.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 7c | 400.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +657.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 63c | 337.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 47c | 204$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 54c | 187.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 45c | 179$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 31c | 174$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 35c | 159$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 44c | 82.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 55c | 78.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 74.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Under | 22c | 66.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 56c | 64.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Over | 53c | 24.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.