South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630a4f7338349cb5ced6b8437de98eea023343ce7e235f8d4fc6cbeb64620570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 936.94$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 826.65$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 819.76$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 731.06$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 337.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ba09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 30c | 139.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 67c | 129$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c340backed Over | 66c | 107.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 51c | 99.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 65cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 33c | 90.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under | 69c | 79.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Over | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 64c | 53.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Under | 70c | 50.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 46c | 47.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Over | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.