Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ebfc3bca3cc74d6c9b12d21ec66c39228b4722d9c5c2e8f29d10cde92eda52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 46c | 29,565$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,965.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 14,480$7,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.56 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 13,433$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.59 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 8,747$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.14 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 40c | 6,700$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 2,862$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.33 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 60c | 1,919$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 79c | 1,463$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 49c | 1,244$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,062$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.41 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 54c | 978.26$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Over | 72c | 884.52$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 564.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 62c | 459.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…3b60backed Over | 52c | 387.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 292.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 42c | 282.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 55c | 274.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 68c | 229.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 79c | 228.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Over | 54c | 205.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…263abacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 33c | 189.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 76c | 154.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 146.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 123.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 85.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…ace1backed Over | 60c | 62.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 45c | 57.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 55.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…409bbacked Over | 51c | 53.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 51c | 48.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Under | 42c | 45.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…d2cbbacked Under | 26c | 43.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 50c | 41.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Over | 75c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…ba76backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 46c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…cd4abacked Under | 55c | 26.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Over | 64c | 25.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 64c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 78c | 16.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.